Baseline = consensus line averaged across US sportsbooks (The Odds API). Each pick weighs that line against a stats projection (nflverse), injuries, weather and news. Confidence = the model's probability the pick hits. Units assume a flat 1-unit stake at the consensus price. Picks are graded against the line at kickoff. This is a statistics experiment, not betting advice. New here? Read the Dashboard Guide. Privacy Policy · Terms of Service · Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information

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